***G-Man's NFL Week 13***

[G-Man!]

Thursday.
Bears +10.5 (-115) over Detroit. 2 units
Dallas -3.5 over Gants 2 units.
Miami +3.5 -123) over Breen Bay. 4 units
Tago is 0-7 in cold weather, but Im betting on the Miami defense to keep it close and pull off the upset.

 

[smartmoneyfollower]

Never like being on opposite sides of your picks, but I’m on Lions ML, I hate betting a team missing its center. Hope we both cash. All the best.

 

[jaxfactor]

Like DAL and MIA today- good luck!

 

[G-Man!]

FRIDAY

3PM
KC -12.5 iver Raiders. 2 units
Conference game...
Do you know how many times KC won this year by more than 13 points?
NONE!
Four weeks ago they beat the Raiders in LV by 7 points. The line was 8.5.
Minshew is out today and O'Connell is starting. The Raiders also have a few other defensive players out.
The Raiders defense is ranked at 29th in the NFL.

 

[Joe$$Moneyline]

Yep
But Chiefs don’t cover spreads
0-5 Last 5

 

[ashack1]

Yep
But Chiefs don’t cover spreads
0-5 Last 5

^^^^^^
This. L2K mentioned this a few days ago.. I agreed then, and still do. Wasn’t very big, but I’m taking the Raiders.. Let’s see what happens

 

[Joe$$Moneyline]

Yep
But Chiefs don’t cover spreads
0-5 Last 5

0-6 Ats
Last 6

 

[G-Man!]

Sunday

1PM
Tennessee +6 over Washington 10 units
The Titans still have the #1 pass defense and the number #4 run defense in the NFL. They get to play a Washington team that has now allowed 30 pts per game in the last three.

Atlanta +1 ovr Chargers. 10 units.
Cousins in the dome is much different than last week at Denver.

Cincinnati -3 over Pitt. 10 units
Steelers haven't scored 20 pts vs AFC North Division opponents in last two games.


4PM
Eagles +3 over Baltimore. 10 units.
Eagles own NFL best offensive numbers combined after Detroit #1..
They also have a better defense than Baltimore.

Minnesota-3.5 over Arizona. 5 units
Vikings just play defense at home too well for Arizona to be effective. The allow only 17 pts per game.
Vikes have just completed a thres straight road game run going 3-0 SU.

Saints+2.5 over Rams 5 units.
Carr is gold in the dome.

Carolina+6 over Tampa. 5 units

 

[vinnyvegas]

GL GMan!!

 

[G-Man!]

Browns +7 -125 over Denver. 10 units<<<<
Browns ML+225. 3 units
Interesting note here.
Denver is being priced on public perception and the Browns lack of wins.

With Common opponents- the lines were much different.
Denver (a winning record team and positive scoring team) was a +9 point dog to Balt.
Cleveland (a losing record team and negative scoring team) only +7.5
Denver was a +2.5 pt dog to Pitt
CLE was +3.
This game should be lined 2.5 - 3.5.
Also Cleve is a good ML bet as Chubb is running again. And Denver has some key players out.

 

[phokingood]

Yo G. What key players for Denver are you seeing out? Thanks and GL today !

 

[G-Man!]

Yo G. What key players for Denver are you seeing out? Thanks and GL today !

Repoted on ESPN yesterday? Not sure, I just listened to game analysis. Check reports??
Weather is around 41 at game time also.

Player	POS	Status	Date	Note
J. Reynolds	WR	Questionable - Hand	Nov 29, '24	Expand
J. Franklin-Myers	DL	Injured - Shoulder	Nov 29, '24	Expand
Z. Allen	DL	Injured - Ankle	Nov 29, '24	Expand
B. Jones	SAF	Injured - Abdomen	Nov 29, '24	Expand
P. Locke	SAF	Injured - Thumb	Nov 29, '24	Expand
R. Moss	CB	Out - Knee	Nov 29, '24	Expand
B. Nix	QB	Injured - Back	Nov 29, '24

 

[G-Man!]

Moss and NIX could both be important..

 

[phokingood]

I did chekc reports and haven’t seen anything saying nix would be out or a GTD. Also with you on browns. Just wondering what you were seeing

 

[G-Man!]

I did chekc reports and haven’t seen anything saying nix would be out or a GTD. Also with you on browns. Just wondering what you were seeing

Here's a quote from "Field Level Media." Quote: "Nix was limited on Denver's estimated practice report Thursday with a back injury, as was defensive lineman John Franklin-Myers (shoulder). Cornerback Riley Moss (knee) sat out. Everyone other than Ross (out) was a full participant at the Friday and Saturday practices".

looking at the list above, could be interpreted that Nix isnt 100% and CB Moss OUT will hurt the defense along with two lineman on defense could open up the run game for Chubb, and also diminish the pass rush which would be good for Winston @QB for Cle.
Cleveland also has the beniifit of a long rest after beating the Steelers 11 says ago. The last two wins were over the Ravens and Steelers - Both with Watson gone and Winston in!

GL

 

[Joe$$Moneyline]

Love Winston
Let’s go!

 

[nevinbrett6]

Denver got a bigger line because of travel
Cleveland has pitt on deck
You might be right
I got Denver - 5.5
Good luck

 

[G-Man!]

Denver got a bigger line because of travel
Cleveland has pitt on deck
You might be right
I got Denver - 5.5
Good luck

There's bad beats and there's Nuclear bad beats.
Two pic 6's and all three ints while driving to win killed the play. It was Nuclear.
Congrats on your win.

 

[LSUpete]

There's bad beats and there's Nuclear bad beats.
Two pic 6's and all three ints while driving to win killed the play. It was Nuclear.
Congrats on your win.

Welcome to the world of Jameis Winston.

 

[G-Man!]

Thursday.
Bears +10.5 (-115) over Detroit. 2 units............W+200
Dallas -3.5 over Gants 2 units. ..............................W+200
Miami +3.5 -123) over Breen Bay. 4 units..................L-492

FRIDAY

3PM
KC -12.5 iver Raiders. 2 units.............................L-220
Conference game...

Sunday

1PM
Tennessee +6 over Washington 10 units..................L-1100


Atlanta +1 ovr Chargers. 10 units. ...................L-1100


Cincinnati -3 over Pitt. 10 units.........................L-1100



4PM
Eagles +3 over Baltimore. 10 units. .......................W+1000


Minnesota-3.5 over Arizona. 5 units..................L-550


Saints+2.5 over Rams 5 units. .......................L-550.


Carolina+6 over Tampa. 5 units.......................W+500

Browns +7 -125 over Denver. 10 units<<<<..........L-_1250
Browns ML+225. 3 units .........................................L-300
BAD BEAT!

4-9. -4762.00
L-6662
W+1900

Season. 78-93-3 . -10,844.00